Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.298999 2.752174 3.260177 3.870197 4.581105 5.381633 6.349496
2025-12-21 1.643686 2.216973 2.928950 3.871413 5.078578 6.564546 8.522698
2025-12-28 1.331301 1.979379 2.853597 4.103638 5.826662 8.096662 11.287615
2026-01-04 1.084780 1.756016 2.728486 4.213307 6.389606 9.422014 13.915059
2026-01-11 0.924276 1.612597 2.673931 4.388622 7.036502 10.903690 16.889704
2026-01-18 0.766663 1.435952 2.530095 4.392885 7.410445 12.009626 19.414037
2026-01-25 0.617226 1.239127 2.315131 4.241429 7.506719 12.686907 21.337602
2026-02-01 0.499714 1.072587 2.118965 4.083332 7.557539 13.277685 23.157144
2026-02-08 0.426168 0.972495 2.020744 4.074502 7.846800 14.264896 25.682110
2026-02-15 0.367853 0.890153 1.940339 4.082392 8.158329 15.307191 28.375173
2026-02-22 0.313704 0.804845 1.839198 4.033878 8.355897 16.162270 30.809784
2026-03-01 0.255851 0.698324 1.676620 3.839372 8.252183 16.465986 32.293500
2026-03-08 0.219461 0.635147 1.597171 3.806828 8.465346 17.379063 34.977042
2026-03-15 0.189883 0.582115 1.531207 3.793256 8.714389 18.381562 37.911258
2026-03-22 0.179032 0.575652 1.571164 4.016518 9.473602 20.423279 42.955962
2026-03-29 0.162502 0.549771 1.560291 4.122605 9.995008 22.040836 47.307891
2026-04-05 0.151105 0.535960 1.576825 4.294053 10.674454 24.026694 52.521932
2026-04-12 0.133329 0.498602 1.526653 4.298089 10.981347 25.276053 56.360827
2026-04-19 0.111962 0.444133 1.421134 4.149541 10.922840 25.757213 58.676212
2026-04-26 0.093691 0.394521 1.319367 3.994523 10.829110 26.150378 60.831587
2026-05-03 0.082714 0.367103 1.275862 3.985862 11.082950 27.313465 64.680854
2026-05-10 0.073586 0.343814 1.240340 3.993596 11.377015 28.586939 68.852567
2026-05-17 0.064204 0.316674 1.187808 3.946034 11.526211 29.544022 72.401115